MARKET

🏦 MARKET: The Probability & Risk Management Challenge 🎲

📌 Overview

Welcome to MARKET, a high-stakes game where probability and risk management determine your success!

Your goal is to accumulate the highest average team score by strategically deciding when to test the market (roll) and when to play it safe. However, market conditions fluctuate, and a single risky decision could wipe out your points!

To practice dice mechanics, visit MARKET Practice page.

🎯 Objective

  • Earn as many points as possible over six rounds.
  • Each round, decide whether to test the market (ROLL) or STAY.
  • Manage risk based on market conditions (Boon, Neutral, Bust).
  • The team with the highest average score at the end wins!

🎲 How to Play

1️⃣ Market Conditions Are Set

At the start of each round, the Dice Master (DM) rolls a d3 to determine the market condition:

🎲 Market Roll Market Condition Effect
1 Bust All points this round decrease by 15%.
2 Neutral No change—points remain as rolled.
3 Boon All points this round increase by 35%.

🔹 Each market condition has equal probability (1/3 chance) of occurring each round.

2️⃣ Players Decide to TEST THE MARKET or STAY

Each player on the team individually decides:

  • TEST THE MARKET 🎲 – Participate in rolling two six-sided dice (2d6) to earn points.
  • STAY ⏸ – Lock in points from previous rolls in this round and avoid risk.

⚠️ The Catch:

  • All players who decide to test the market roll the same 2d6 result—the market is shared!
  • If either die rolls a 1, the entire market scratches (earning 0 points for the round) for anyone who choose to take the risk.

🔹 The dice roll independently and fairly.

  • Each die has an equal probability of rolling any number from 1 to 6.

3️⃣ Testing the Market & Applying Adjustments

  1. The Dice Master rolls 2d6, determining the market test result.
  2. Players who tested the market receive the sum of both dice as their base score.
  3. If a 1 appears on either die, the market scratches (players who rolled earn 0 points for the entire round).
  4. The market condition modifies scores for those who successfully rolled:
  • Bust (-15% penalty)
  • Neutral (no change)
  • Boon (+35% bonus)

Example Scoring for a Player Who Tests the Market:

Dice Roll (Market Test) Base Score Bust (-15%) Neutral (0%) Boon (+35%)
7 7 pts 6 pts 7 pts 9 pts
10 10 pts 8.5 pts 10 pts 13.5 pts
Scratch (1 on either die) 0 pts 0 pts 0 pts 0 pts

4️⃣ End of Round & Team Average is Calculated

  1. Play continues until a 1 is rolled or all players choose to stay.
  2. The game moves to the next round!
  3. There are 6 rounds, one for each letter of MARKET.

🏆 Winning the Game

  • The team with the highest average score after six rounds wins the MARKET challenge!
  • If there’s a tie, the team with fewer scratches wins.

📋 Strategy Tips

✔️ Know when to take risks! Testing the market early can build up points, but doing so too often may result in scratches.
✔️ Watch the market! Adjust your decisions based on whether the market is in Boon, Neutral, or Bust.
✔️ Team strategy matters! A mix of safe and risky play can help keep your team average high.

📅 Game Flow

Step Action
1️⃣ Dice Master rolls a d3 to determine Market Condition.
2️⃣ Players decide whether to test the market (ROLL) or STAY.
3️⃣ The Dice Master rolls 2d6 for all players who chose to roll.
4️⃣ Points are adjusted based on Market Condition.
5️⃣ Repeat 2-4 until all players STAY or 1 is rolled.
6️⃣ Move to the next round (repeat for six rounds).
7️⃣ Final team averages are compared to determine the winner!

📜 Final Summary

✅ Market conditions fluctuate—adapt your strategy!
✅ Testing the Market is risky—a scratch means zero points!
✅ Boon markets increase profits by 35%, Bust markets reduce profits by 15%.
✅ Each player acts independently whether to roll or stay, but collaboration is encouraged.
✅ All players who roll receive the same result (shared market roll).
✅ The team with the highest average score wins!

Good luck, and may the market work in your favor! 📈🔥